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2009预测与战略
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Agenda

    1   Macroeconomic Trends of the World and China


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: Global growth was slowing in 2008, with many major economies sliding into recession, and will be slowing further in 2009. The financial crisis, which has had a severe impact on many banks and other financial institutions, has spread to other companies, forcing central banks as well as governments of many countries to take drastic steps, with the Chinese government and the People’s Bank of China working together with their western peers. more>>

    2   Re-build Pillars for China's Economic Growth


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: China has enjoyed double-digit growth for many years, based on booming exports, investments and consumption. However, due to slowing global demand, exports are slowing, investments suffering from deflation pressure, and consumer confidence is falling due to fear of unemployment and lack of income growth. more>>

    3   30 Years of Reforms Tell the Future (Part I): Gains and Losses of Economic Transformation


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: While the reforms that started 30 years ago are generally perceived as success, they do also contain way for future conflicts among its participants – government, companies and people – that need to be solved in time. Issues like environmental protection and prevention of waste, deregulation of prices, monopoly demolition and distribution of wealth prove that the time of reform is far from being over.more>>

    5   Panel I: How Can Real Estate Sector Survive the Winter?


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: Chinese real estate prices have been rising during the past years and construction industry was booming. Now, as prices are falling, demand is shrinking and investors are scared away, the real estate sector is trapped with the uncomfortable decision of holding the property and survive an uncertain time of low sales or engage in a price war to keep high sales volumes.more>>

    6   Panel II: Financial Derivatives: Innovation, Risk and Regulation


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: Financial derivatives are finance tools to minimize risk in financial activities and allow efficient contracts and planning. However, some were used for speculation that led to huge losses within several companies – some of them not engaged in investment business at all. The right framework of regulation and practices that doesn’t hamper financial innovation has to be provided.more>>

    7   Panel III: PE in the Downward Economic Cycle


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: The financial crisis brings not only hard times, but also low-priced investment opportunities to venture capitalists. However, not all have the liquidity or the daring ambition left necessary to make the economic cycle turn again.more>>

    8   Panel I: Economic Volatility and the Ups and Downs of Basic Industry


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: After a dramatic rise in commodity prices till summer 2008, prices have fallen equally strong since then. The high volatility in oil and metal prices is challenging the industry. The slump in commodities can either lead to an ease of the global economy, or to a threat of deflation and disinvestment.more>>

    9   Panel II: Challenges for Enterprises: Focus and Strategy


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: Export-driven Chinese companies are facing unprecedented difficulties as global demand shrinks. While yuan depreciation and falling commodity prices can lower their costs, it is yet unclear who will buy their products as both international and domestic demand is low.more>>

    10   Panel III: New Mission for Fiscal and Tax Policies


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: The 4 trillion stimulus package to support investment and growth is just one sign of changing fiscal and tax policy in China. With economic growth came higher tax revenues, which now have to be assigned to efficient expenditures. On the other hand, China must not build up a tax burden on its citizens and companies.more>>

    11   Panel IV: Great Opportunities for Rural Development


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: China’s economic development brought wealth to its cities, while many rural regions are still underdeveloped. Increasing farmer’s rights and income and stimulating rural consumption will not only close the gap but also help China’s economy during a global downturn.more>>

    12   Financial Summit I: Banking


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: China’s banks have become strong and sound, and have suffered far less than their western peers. However, linking them to the global financial market is without alternative for future growth and internationalization. Banks need to seize the chance that the crisis offers.more>>

    13   Financial Summit II: Securities & Insurance


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic: Securities and insurance firms in China face a growing, fast changing but government-regulated market. The sector needs to find a path for stable development, and it needs more room for innovation and competition.more>>

    14   World Financial Crisis and New International System


  • time:2008-12-12 Friday 13:00-14:30
  • Topic:A new global financial system that avoids the mistakes of the past and the present may not lead to protectionism and isolationism. Equally important, the emerging countries must be included since the world of finance is not ruled only by dollar, fed and Wall Street anymore.more>>
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