China increased its holdings by 21.7 billion U.S. dollars to 868.4 billion U.S. dollars in August from 846.7 billion U.S. dollars in July.
“The China LEI’s increase in August suggests continuing growth and receding risks of a slowdown in coming months.”
The hot money inflows into China are likely to reach 16 billion U.S. dollars in the third quarter this year, according to Morgan Stanley chief economist.
China’s CPI is likely to peak in the third quarter this year, and decline from the fourth quarter until the first half of next year, while go up again since the third quarter in 2011.
The current account surplus stood at 126.5 billion U.S. dollars and the surplus of capital and financial account hit 90 billion U.S. dollars in the first six months this year.
Emerging markets, especially, would see a substantial rise in inflationary pressure, which would make them further tighten monetary policy and strengthen the flexibility of exchange rate when necessary.
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