A Crisis Policy Exit Plan in Two, Easy Steps
[2009-10-30]
Since a quick stimulus exit and credit clampdown appear unlikely, China's policymakers should consider backing off gradually.
Crisis Tests Strength of China's Export Muscle
[2009-08-19]
China's exporters have suffered in the global downturn, but they've clung to import market share in major economies.
Why Taxes Matter for Economic Growth
[2009-08-13]
A government policy that favors turnover taxes over other tax methods benefits fiscal coffers but dampens GDP growth.
The Need to Rebalance both the Chinese and U.S. Economies
[2009-08-04]
China's economy is recovering due to proactive fiscal and monetary polices while the U.S. economy is trying to recover primarily through structural adjustments. Like the United States, China should adjust its economy actively, rather than passively.
Commentary: Mulling a Next Step for China's Macro Policy
[2009-07-31]
Macroeconomic policy can encourage a stable economy as long as policymakers know when the time is ripe for proper adjustments.
Property Correction Ends Prematurely As Investment Accelerates
[2009-07-28]
The reliance of China's economy on property investment makes it hard to decouple the two unless the Chinese government decides it can bear greater economic turbulence.
Economists Caution Against Redundant Road Projects
[2009-07-22]
Even if China's gross domestic product grows 9 percent in the next decade, the demand for road infrastructure will go up by no more than 30 percent by the year 2020.
Deconstructing China's Investment
[2009-07-16]
Caijing's chief economist says that if this year's fixed asset investment growth rate is 30 percent, then fixed capital will increase by 25.4 percent.
Fiscal Credit Puts Reform on Slippery Slope
[2009-06-15]
Vast credit expansion by local governments and their bank partners may jeopardize China's market reform and economic recovery.
Commodity Rally: Reality or Illusion
[2009-06-15]
Commodity prices are ultimately determined by the strength of the economy. Before a US recovery is officially confirmed, various uncertainties are likely to send prices into a period of fluctuation.
Will Swine Flu Cast an Economic Shadow?
[2009-05-14]
The latest outbreak of influenza has been contained so far. But global disease can devastate an economy and ruin a recovery.
A Stalled Engine
[2009-04-14]
Net exports as a decade-long contributor to China's GDP growth continue to slump, as quantitative analysis forecasts a 30-percent decline in 2009.
Macro Review: A Risky Approach
[2009-04-09]
Increasing inflationary pressure can help stave off deflation, but it's not sufficient to right the economy. Consumer demand is essential.
Actions Speak Louder Than Words
[2009-04-01]
To gain a bigger voice in the global economy, China must build ups its domestic economy.
Chinese Manufactures on the Brink of Failure
[2009-03-02]
China needs to foster domestic demand in order to save failing Chinese manufacturers.
Macro Review: Holding U.S. Dollar Still Safe
[2009-02-03]
None of any other major currencies is believed to perform better than the dollar in 2009
Macro Review: Regional Differences in Slowdown
[2009-01-12]
China's eastern provinces are dependent on exports, while the western provinces suffer from falling investments.
Hope for a Stronger Manufacturing Sector
[2009-01-05]
China's Next 30 Years: Manufacturing is crucial to pushing the Chinese economy to the top
High Time for Countering Export Inertia
[2008-12-31]
More work is needed if China truly wants an economic growth model based on domestic consumption, not exports.
Emphasis on Upstream Industry Supports Imbalances
[2008-12-16]
Beijing is more concerned about production than about consumption, increasing dependence on exports.
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